The Changing Trends in Pak-Afghan Relations: An Analysis of The Peace Process (2008-
2010)
Jehangir Khan1, PhD, Manzoor Ahmad2, PhD and Huma Qayum3
Assistant Professor1,2
Department of Political Science
Abdul Wali Khan University Mardan, Pakistan
MPhil Scholar3
Department of Political Science
Abdul Wali Khan University Mardan, Pakistan
(Received: Dec. 2014 & Published Online: Mar. Issue 2015)
Abstract
The Pak-Afghan relations have often been far from cordial since 1947. In mid 1990s, these relations saw a
brief thaw due to the Taliban leniency towards Islamabad. But this détente soon ended after the US/NATO
intervention in October 2001. The Northern Alliance, the bitter critic of Pakistan, took over Kabul and a
new era of estrangement started. Blame game went on and trust deficit kept on rise. The growing Indian
influence in Kabul and separatist movements in Pakistani province Baluchistan widened the gulf in PakAfghan relations. However, the situation underwent a positive change when the Afghan President
approached a peace process and the democratic setup in Islamabad responded in the same coin. The peace
process is a multifaceted process that takes into account all aspects of bilateral relationship. Mistrust
seems to be replaced with trust and understanding as peace envoy has been initiated and succeeded. The
ongoing process of peace can vanished distrust between the two adjacent neighbors. The paper will
analyze the mired relations in the past and to what extent that bleak scenario has been vanished due to
normalization process. This paper explores different step taken on both sides to make this process a
success story. It also analyzes the impacts of the process on security, stability and prosperity of the region.
The relevance and importance of this new trend in the post drawdown scenario will also be highlighted.
Keywords: Pak-Afghan Relations, Taliban, Peace Process, Mistrust, Normalization
Introduction
Relations between Pakistan and Afghanistan
(Pak-Afghan Relations) have always remained far
from except during the Taliban era since 1994 till
2001. There is no denying the fact that besides
common historic, geographic and ethnographic
ties, the strained relations between the two
countries are indebted to the overarching regional
and international factors (Siddiqi, 2009). Despite
the convergence of interests in economic matters,
the divergence of political objectives and the
blame-game has kept them apart from each other.
Two main issues; Pakhtunistan 1 stunt and
1
Afghanistan vigorously raised claim to the Pashtu
speaking areas of Khyber Pukhtoonkhwa (then
NWFP) and Baluchistan province. On the claim that
the Pashtuns majority province should be included in
Afghanistan or give a third option of Pakhtunistan,
which was wholeheartedly supported by Khudai
Khidmatgars. Movement of Khan Abdul Ghaffar
Khan, popularly known as Bacha Khan on July 3,
1947 referendum. In which more than 70% voted in
favor of Pakistan. In spite of mass judgment in
referendum, a flag of ‘Pakhtunistan’ was raised on
September 2, 1947 in Kabul, alongside with Afghan
national flag. Afghanistan took over this issue on
many occasions after Pakistan’s independence from
which both countries adopted negative attitude
towards each other. Retrieved from
http://www.pashtunsforum.com/social-politicalissue/1232-pashunistan-concept-does-have-widersupport-pakhtunkhwa.html
MAGNT Research Report (ISSN. 1444-8939) Vol.3 (3). PP: 1054-1062
(DOI: dx.doi.org/14.9831/1444-8939.2015/3-3/MAGNT.132)
altogether negation of the “Durand Line
Agreement 1893”2 in the wake of 1947 have been
impeding the cordial relationship between these
two neighboring Muslim countries. The said
agreement was signed in 1893 between the then
Afghan government and the British Raj in India
before partition. But after the end of British rule
and subsequent partition of India into two
independent states – India and Pakistan, the issue
of Pakhtunistan resurfaced when the then Afghan
government reiterated its claim over the
northwestern province of Pakistan. The strained
Pak-Afghan relations contributed much to
instability in the region. The tribal territory has
never experienced political stability as it has
always been a "prickly hedge" quite unfit to serve
as the frontier area between the two states
(Qureshi, 1966).
Despite prevailing mistrust, convergence
of interests compelled the two neighboring
countries to enter into a bilateral dialogue on
different occasions. Efforts on both sides were
made to normalize the diplomatic relations
between the two countries. Leaders of other
friendly states took interest in bringing these two
countries closer to each other by playing a
mediating role (Dutta, 2009). Pakistan’s policies
towards Afghanistan were clear and unambiguous
as one of its foreign policy objective was to
establish amicable relations with all Muslim and
neighboring countries. Pakistan, being facing
severe pressure on its eastern border due to
aggressive Indian behavior, wanted to have a
peaceful western border. In other words, Pakistan
was in search of a strategic-depth against India
and that could only be provided by a friendly
Afghanistan (Siddiqi, 2009). However, the
relationship could not achieve the said objective.
Afghanistan showed more enthusiasm in
establishing cordial relations with India than
Pakistan.
2
Durand Line refers to the 2,640 km long porous
border between Pakistan and Afghanistan this
agreement signed between British Indian government
foreign security, Sir Mortimer Durand and Amir
Abdul Rehman of Afghanistan in 1893. For fixing the
limit of their respective spheres of influence as well as
improving diplomatic relations and trade. Retrieved
from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Durand_Line
On December 27, 1979, Relations took a
new turn when nearly 80,000 Soviet troops rolled
into Afghanistan on the call of the then
government in Kabul. Pakistan took it as a
blessing in disguise and invited the US and all
anti-Soviet state to joined hand with Pakistan to
put Soviet communist influence to rout. This antiSoviet drive sowed the seeds of never ending
spirals of violence that are still haunting the
whole region (Yousaf, 2012). Pakistan adopted
all measures to force the Soviet troops to vacate
Afghanistan. Since early 1980s, Pakistan had
started to pursue a ‘forward policy’ in
Afghanistan by encouraging religious parties to
seek ideological allies. It was an attempt to bring
conservative minded masses, in both the
countries, into a common defense posture against
the Soviet forces (Haqqani, 2005). The financial
and technological assistance of Arab and Western
countries respectively brought in the volunteers to
back the Afghan Jihad in order to run what is
now called Pakistan’s Afghan war (Rashid,
2009). Due to a number of factors, especially the
economic one, the Soviet Union announced
complete withdrawal from Afghanistan and hand
over the control to Dr. Najibullah, a pro-Soviet
President in Afghanistan, as part of UNsponsored Geneva Accord on April 14, 1988. Just
after the Soviet withdrawal in 1989, a civil war
broke-out in Afghanistan between different
warring cliques. Burhanuddin Rabbani and his
Defense Minister Ahmad Shah Massoud were in
occupation of Kabul while Gulbuudin
Hekmatyar, chief of the Hezb-e-Islamic party and
the designated Prime Minister of Afghanistan
who belonged to Pashtun ethnic group, was
striving hard for control over Kabul (Coll, 2004).
The chaotic situation in Afghanistan gave rise to
another militant outfit that was called the Taliban
– the students of religious seminaries. Soon this
group won popular support and prominence in
Afghan society. Over a span of few months, the
Taliban checkmated the influence of all other
groups and took control of Kabul in 1996.
Besides Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates
(UAE), Pakistan extended recognition to the new
setup in Kabul while the rest of world remained
cautious in following them. The sternest Taliban
policies caused resentment at international level
while stiff resistance was put forward by the
MAGNT Research Report (ISSN. 1444-8939) Vol.3 (3). PP: 1054-1062
(DOI: dx.doi.org/14.9831/1444-8939.2015/3-3/MAGNT.132)
Northern Alliance3 in the country. (Haque, 2011).
Meanwhile A-Qaeda outfit joined hand with the
Taliban that brought bad name to the latter. The
alleged indulgence of Al-Qaeda leadership in the
horrific 9/11 incidence mounted international
pressure on the Taliban leadership to dissociate
themselves with the former and expel Al-Qaeda
chief from Afghan soil. On denying complying
with these demands, the United Nations Security
Council (UNSC) adopted Resolution No. 1333 on
December 19, 2000. Thus, Pakistan was forced to
stop illegal military assistance to the Taliban.
Pakistan acceded to the resolution passed by this
international organization (Rashid, 2008).
Pakistan tried to bring the Taliban leadership to
the table-talks with the United States but the
former was reluctant to concurrence to such a
posture (Grare, 2006). Subsequently the US
secretary of state made a telephone call to
President Musharraf and asked to comply with
the seven US demands to abandon supporting the
Taliban. The President of Pakistan gave his
consent to join the US-led War on Terror (WoT)
(Hussain, 2005). In October 2001, the US/NATO
forces launched ‘Operation Enduring Freedom’.
Within a few days, they invaded Kabul and
dislodged the Taliban regime. The new setup in
Kabul mostly comprised the Northern Alliance
leadership that was at odd with Afghanistan for
its earlier pro-Taliban policies (Siddiqi, 2009).
Soon the relations between Islamabad and
Kabul got strained due to the blame game on the
part of both the governments. Lack of political
stability, perverted law and order situation and
non-ending militancy gave rise to mistrust in
relationship (Rubin, 2006). However, in 2008,
newly elected setup in Islamabad took more steps
to bring normalcy to the tense Pak-Afghan
relations. In Afghanistan, President Karzai was
reelected in August 2009 and he positively
3
Northern Alliance was a group of factions who had
the common goal of toppling the Taliban was formally
in power in Afghanistan. This group comprised of five
factions of Mujahid fighters led by Burhanuddin
Rabbani and Ahmad Shah Massoud, Abdul Ali
Mazari, Abdul Rashid Dostum, Ayatollah Muhammad
Asif Muhsini and Abdul Rasul Sayyaf. Retrieved
from
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Afghan_Northern_Allianc
e
responded to the initiative taken by Islamabad.
He not only acknowledged the role of Pakistan in
fighting against militancy but also stopped
issuing hostile statements and accusations against
2010)
Jehangir Khan1, PhD, Manzoor Ahmad2, PhD and Huma Qayum3
Assistant Professor1,2
Department of Political Science
Abdul Wali Khan University Mardan, Pakistan
MPhil Scholar3
Department of Political Science
Abdul Wali Khan University Mardan, Pakistan
(Received: Dec. 2014 & Published Online: Mar. Issue 2015)
Abstract
The Pak-Afghan relations have often been far from cordial since 1947. In mid 1990s, these relations saw a
brief thaw due to the Taliban leniency towards Islamabad. But this détente soon ended after the US/NATO
intervention in October 2001. The Northern Alliance, the bitter critic of Pakistan, took over Kabul and a
new era of estrangement started. Blame game went on and trust deficit kept on rise. The growing Indian
influence in Kabul and separatist movements in Pakistani province Baluchistan widened the gulf in PakAfghan relations. However, the situation underwent a positive change when the Afghan President
approached a peace process and the democratic setup in Islamabad responded in the same coin. The peace
process is a multifaceted process that takes into account all aspects of bilateral relationship. Mistrust
seems to be replaced with trust and understanding as peace envoy has been initiated and succeeded. The
ongoing process of peace can vanished distrust between the two adjacent neighbors. The paper will
analyze the mired relations in the past and to what extent that bleak scenario has been vanished due to
normalization process. This paper explores different step taken on both sides to make this process a
success story. It also analyzes the impacts of the process on security, stability and prosperity of the region.
The relevance and importance of this new trend in the post drawdown scenario will also be highlighted.
Keywords: Pak-Afghan Relations, Taliban, Peace Process, Mistrust, Normalization
Introduction
Relations between Pakistan and Afghanistan
(Pak-Afghan Relations) have always remained far
from except during the Taliban era since 1994 till
2001. There is no denying the fact that besides
common historic, geographic and ethnographic
ties, the strained relations between the two
countries are indebted to the overarching regional
and international factors (Siddiqi, 2009). Despite
the convergence of interests in economic matters,
the divergence of political objectives and the
blame-game has kept them apart from each other.
Two main issues; Pakhtunistan 1 stunt and
1
Afghanistan vigorously raised claim to the Pashtu
speaking areas of Khyber Pukhtoonkhwa (then
NWFP) and Baluchistan province. On the claim that
the Pashtuns majority province should be included in
Afghanistan or give a third option of Pakhtunistan,
which was wholeheartedly supported by Khudai
Khidmatgars. Movement of Khan Abdul Ghaffar
Khan, popularly known as Bacha Khan on July 3,
1947 referendum. In which more than 70% voted in
favor of Pakistan. In spite of mass judgment in
referendum, a flag of ‘Pakhtunistan’ was raised on
September 2, 1947 in Kabul, alongside with Afghan
national flag. Afghanistan took over this issue on
many occasions after Pakistan’s independence from
which both countries adopted negative attitude
towards each other. Retrieved from
http://www.pashtunsforum.com/social-politicalissue/1232-pashunistan-concept-does-have-widersupport-pakhtunkhwa.html
MAGNT Research Report (ISSN. 1444-8939) Vol.3 (3). PP: 1054-1062
(DOI: dx.doi.org/14.9831/1444-8939.2015/3-3/MAGNT.132)
altogether negation of the “Durand Line
Agreement 1893”2 in the wake of 1947 have been
impeding the cordial relationship between these
two neighboring Muslim countries. The said
agreement was signed in 1893 between the then
Afghan government and the British Raj in India
before partition. But after the end of British rule
and subsequent partition of India into two
independent states – India and Pakistan, the issue
of Pakhtunistan resurfaced when the then Afghan
government reiterated its claim over the
northwestern province of Pakistan. The strained
Pak-Afghan relations contributed much to
instability in the region. The tribal territory has
never experienced political stability as it has
always been a "prickly hedge" quite unfit to serve
as the frontier area between the two states
(Qureshi, 1966).
Despite prevailing mistrust, convergence
of interests compelled the two neighboring
countries to enter into a bilateral dialogue on
different occasions. Efforts on both sides were
made to normalize the diplomatic relations
between the two countries. Leaders of other
friendly states took interest in bringing these two
countries closer to each other by playing a
mediating role (Dutta, 2009). Pakistan’s policies
towards Afghanistan were clear and unambiguous
as one of its foreign policy objective was to
establish amicable relations with all Muslim and
neighboring countries. Pakistan, being facing
severe pressure on its eastern border due to
aggressive Indian behavior, wanted to have a
peaceful western border. In other words, Pakistan
was in search of a strategic-depth against India
and that could only be provided by a friendly
Afghanistan (Siddiqi, 2009). However, the
relationship could not achieve the said objective.
Afghanistan showed more enthusiasm in
establishing cordial relations with India than
Pakistan.
2
Durand Line refers to the 2,640 km long porous
border between Pakistan and Afghanistan this
agreement signed between British Indian government
foreign security, Sir Mortimer Durand and Amir
Abdul Rehman of Afghanistan in 1893. For fixing the
limit of their respective spheres of influence as well as
improving diplomatic relations and trade. Retrieved
from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Durand_Line
On December 27, 1979, Relations took a
new turn when nearly 80,000 Soviet troops rolled
into Afghanistan on the call of the then
government in Kabul. Pakistan took it as a
blessing in disguise and invited the US and all
anti-Soviet state to joined hand with Pakistan to
put Soviet communist influence to rout. This antiSoviet drive sowed the seeds of never ending
spirals of violence that are still haunting the
whole region (Yousaf, 2012). Pakistan adopted
all measures to force the Soviet troops to vacate
Afghanistan. Since early 1980s, Pakistan had
started to pursue a ‘forward policy’ in
Afghanistan by encouraging religious parties to
seek ideological allies. It was an attempt to bring
conservative minded masses, in both the
countries, into a common defense posture against
the Soviet forces (Haqqani, 2005). The financial
and technological assistance of Arab and Western
countries respectively brought in the volunteers to
back the Afghan Jihad in order to run what is
now called Pakistan’s Afghan war (Rashid,
2009). Due to a number of factors, especially the
economic one, the Soviet Union announced
complete withdrawal from Afghanistan and hand
over the control to Dr. Najibullah, a pro-Soviet
President in Afghanistan, as part of UNsponsored Geneva Accord on April 14, 1988. Just
after the Soviet withdrawal in 1989, a civil war
broke-out in Afghanistan between different
warring cliques. Burhanuddin Rabbani and his
Defense Minister Ahmad Shah Massoud were in
occupation of Kabul while Gulbuudin
Hekmatyar, chief of the Hezb-e-Islamic party and
the designated Prime Minister of Afghanistan
who belonged to Pashtun ethnic group, was
striving hard for control over Kabul (Coll, 2004).
The chaotic situation in Afghanistan gave rise to
another militant outfit that was called the Taliban
– the students of religious seminaries. Soon this
group won popular support and prominence in
Afghan society. Over a span of few months, the
Taliban checkmated the influence of all other
groups and took control of Kabul in 1996.
Besides Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates
(UAE), Pakistan extended recognition to the new
setup in Kabul while the rest of world remained
cautious in following them. The sternest Taliban
policies caused resentment at international level
while stiff resistance was put forward by the
MAGNT Research Report (ISSN. 1444-8939) Vol.3 (3). PP: 1054-1062
(DOI: dx.doi.org/14.9831/1444-8939.2015/3-3/MAGNT.132)
Northern Alliance3 in the country. (Haque, 2011).
Meanwhile A-Qaeda outfit joined hand with the
Taliban that brought bad name to the latter. The
alleged indulgence of Al-Qaeda leadership in the
horrific 9/11 incidence mounted international
pressure on the Taliban leadership to dissociate
themselves with the former and expel Al-Qaeda
chief from Afghan soil. On denying complying
with these demands, the United Nations Security
Council (UNSC) adopted Resolution No. 1333 on
December 19, 2000. Thus, Pakistan was forced to
stop illegal military assistance to the Taliban.
Pakistan acceded to the resolution passed by this
international organization (Rashid, 2008).
Pakistan tried to bring the Taliban leadership to
the table-talks with the United States but the
former was reluctant to concurrence to such a
posture (Grare, 2006). Subsequently the US
secretary of state made a telephone call to
President Musharraf and asked to comply with
the seven US demands to abandon supporting the
Taliban. The President of Pakistan gave his
consent to join the US-led War on Terror (WoT)
(Hussain, 2005). In October 2001, the US/NATO
forces launched ‘Operation Enduring Freedom’.
Within a few days, they invaded Kabul and
dislodged the Taliban regime. The new setup in
Kabul mostly comprised the Northern Alliance
leadership that was at odd with Afghanistan for
its earlier pro-Taliban policies (Siddiqi, 2009).
Soon the relations between Islamabad and
Kabul got strained due to the blame game on the
part of both the governments. Lack of political
stability, perverted law and order situation and
non-ending militancy gave rise to mistrust in
relationship (Rubin, 2006). However, in 2008,
newly elected setup in Islamabad took more steps
to bring normalcy to the tense Pak-Afghan
relations. In Afghanistan, President Karzai was
reelected in August 2009 and he positively
3
Northern Alliance was a group of factions who had
the common goal of toppling the Taliban was formally
in power in Afghanistan. This group comprised of five
factions of Mujahid fighters led by Burhanuddin
Rabbani and Ahmad Shah Massoud, Abdul Ali
Mazari, Abdul Rashid Dostum, Ayatollah Muhammad
Asif Muhsini and Abdul Rasul Sayyaf. Retrieved
from
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Afghan_Northern_Allianc
e
responded to the initiative taken by Islamabad.
He not only acknowledged the role of Pakistan in
fighting against militancy but also stopped
issuing hostile statements and accusations against